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Understand Iran War (1)

So far, Trump has handled the Iran War correctly. On the military front, the U.S. has been outstanding. However, the mainstream media is not objective. Gerard Baker’s commentary in WSJ [1] ridiculed both sides: some had a gloomy view of the war, while others exaggerated the winning angle.  (See excerpts below)  ...... So it comes as no surprise that less than a month into the latest war, almost everyone seems certain not only about the outcome of the war, but about what it me

Iran War 3-29-2026 (AI)

World  * Bill O'Reilly: "What Iran Was Planning Against America is Extremely Disturbing..."  (3-29)   (detailed, many aspects)  国会听证聚焦中国对美国大学构成的威胁:间谍活动、技术外流与跨境打压   卢比奥:美国预计将在“数周内”结束与以色列对伊朗政权的联合行动,且“无需地面部队”   WATCH: Analyst breaks down media coverage of Operation Epic Fury  (3-28)  Rubio: US can achieve Iran war objectives without 'any ground troops'  (3-28)  * US should pursue 'grand deal', not regime change: Ret. Bri General Mark Kimmitt  (3-28)  RISKY BUSINESS: Experts WARN

Iran War 3-22-2026 (AI)

First, should Trump start the Iran War? It is not an easy call. One thing is for sure. If Iran gets nuclear weapons, the regime is almost certain to use them. Iran is the number 1 nation to support terrorism. It is hard to argue that Iran will not use it. One diplomat who participated in talks with North Korea regretted relying too much on negotiations. As a result, North Korea has obtained nuclear weapons. If the US was more resolute, North Korea might not be able to obtain

Update 3-15 (Iran, AI)

Some notable news about the War on Iran. Condi Rice discussion at GoodFellows is very good.  * Dire Straits: Condoleezza Rice on The War with Iran  (GoodFellows 3-13)   Condoleezza Rice Shares Her Thoughts on the War in Iran (clip)   * Mark Halperin on Opening Strait of Hormuz Is Critical to Trump’s Strategy (clip 3-13)   * Is Regime Change Possible? Niall Ferguson vs. Richard Haass  (3-11)  I saw an interview of Trump’s special envoy Steve Witkoff. (You should be able to fin

US-Israel-Iran War (3-9-26)

Last weekend, when I sent out an email for a news update, the war broke out. I just finished watching Niall Ferguson’s interview [1] and included it in my email. That interview was good. Since then, there has been a lot of progress. On the war front, American and Israelis firepower, intelligence, and technologies are brilliant and overpower Iran so far. However, this war will not be easy. And it has huge implications. The new GoodFellows was good [2]. But two more are even be

Update 2-28/AI Impact on Jobs

Large-scale reduction of headcounts has begun. Block is listed in the US and AU.  Why are Block shares rocketing 30% on Friday?   The major AI companies compete. Leaders may change many times. But  * The AI agent inflection point  (Tech check 2-27)  Gary Cohn was probably too optimistic on jobs.  Fr NEC Director Gary Cohn: We've got a lot of really strong economic tailwinds  (2-28)  3Fourteen's Warren Pies: AI impact on labor, 'absolutely big deal' for markets (2-28)  Two hea

Update2-21-2026

World  * America and the World at 250 | Hoover Institution  (Michael Anton)   余茂春:中国与信任的死亡  [ 评 ] Marco Rubio Speaks to Europe in a Different Tone Than JD Vance  (2-19)   Fareed’s Take: How Dems can learn from Japan’s political rupture   Gen. Jack Keane torches Iran’s nuclear ‘negotiation’  (2-17)  Walter Russell Mead WSJ 2-16  Iran’s Crisis Is Trump’s Sweet Spot What the Ukraine War is Exposing About the US vs China | David Petraeus  (2-16)  Alternative U.S. Grand Strategies

Update2-14-2026

World  The Origin of Modern China; Is Trump “Lost”? America, Home of Squatters?  (GoodF 2-14)  'THEY LIE': Gen. Jack Keane says cannot take Iranians at 'face value'  (2-13)   CIA David Petraeus: What China Really Wants From Russia  (2-13)   This doesn't make ANY sense: Gen Jack Keane  (2-13)   "They Destroy Every Place They Go!" — Jordan, Egypt, and the Refugee Dilemma  (2-12)  How Net Zero Destroyed Britain  (2-11)    REGIME COLLAPSE: Keane reveals military plan to end Irani

AI & Software (2-8-2026)

This is likely an inflection point for AI and IT. Several things led me to this conclusion.  Brad Gerstner had an interview on CNBC [1]. ([2-4] were its clips; they are included in case [1] does not work.)  Some interviews from last Davos (World Economic Forum): Jensen Huang, Alex Karp, Sundar Pichai (Google), Satya Nadella (MSFT), Meta AI Chief, etc. [5-7].  Recent earnings reports.  At the start of this year, Brad Gerstner said that falls in 90% software stocks were justifi

Update 2-7-2026

World  'CHINA IS GONE': No more excuses in the US–China breakup  (2-7)  US-Iran talks open with SHARP disagreement  (2-7)  The ‘red line’ was crossed before talks even began: Philip Wegmann  (2-7)  “I don’t think this regime is fixable.” - Mike Pompeo  (2-7)  * Keane: A HISTORIC opportunity is in front of us  (2-7)  Trump Admin Avoid "Quagmire" in Iran Next on Greenland, w J D Vance  (2-5)  Iran issues STUNNING pivot after military altercations with US  (2-5)  * 'FINISH IRAN'

Update 2-1-2026 (MN, Islam)

If you do not have much time but still want to learn basics of Minnesota ICE conflicts, All-in is the best:  * ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping  (1-31) All in  Sacks has a concise, clear summary of what happened there.  Concerning Islam, there are three (one clip) good videos. Two (one clip) are by Ayaan Hirsi Ali and one commentary on an article by former Australian PM Scott Morrison. Ayaa’s interview is also helpful to understand Somal

AI&Economy-WEF 2026

(The World Economic Forum produced a lot of important news.)  I have not had time to go through it all. I push it and may update this page later. Jensen Huang’s five layers of AI could be important. Palantir’s Alex Karp could be important. In the past, software was divided into layers of architect, analysis, programmer, and testing. This will be completely abandoned. My guess is top-down. Alex Karp is not a great speaker. …. But Palantir is the only company that apply AI to m

Greenland, Iran, … (1-2026)

When I first heard Trump wanted to buy Greenland, I thought he had gone too far. I sensed that the US needs Greenland for the effective Golden Dome project. However, he could/should negotiate something much easier to accomplish and less provocative. Mark Halperin’s talks [1-3] were very good. [3] makes the key point clear. Mark Halperin’s father was a well-known long-time worker in 3 administrations during the Cold War and a Democrat. He explained why the US was indispensable

Update 1-18-2026 (World)

Venezuela: Militarily, it was brilliant. Geopolitically, from a grand strategy viewpoint it is necessary to clean up America’s backyard (Refer to Hal Brands, The Eurasian Century, 2025. Michael Beckley, Hal Brands, Danger Zone, 2023). Maduro had allowed Venezuela to be used by China, Russia, Cuba, even Hamas and others to be used as terrorist training grounds. Trump’s strategy is to prevent it from hostile nations’ influence and at the same time, enable changes gradually (e.g

Update 1-10-2026 (Trade, AI)

Trade:   * Howard Lutnick: How America Can Hit 6% GDP Growth in 2026  (1-9)  Good and easy to understand. It has indices. ( 19:50 ) US-Japan trade deal, China's chaos-to-prowess strategy. This is helpful to see behind the scenes.  Invest: I value Brad Gerstner highly. CNBC seems to have no full interview video.  * 'We're still very early in the super cycle,' says Altimeter Capital's Brad Gerstner  (1-7)   * Altimeter's Brad Gerstner reveals his software investment strategy  (

Update&Sum2025

World  * Nothing is ‘inevitable’ between China and Taiwan under Trump: Ex-national security official  (12-31)   Cliff May on China military drills around Taiwan (12-31) (and Iran)  特朗普:对中国大规模围台军演“不担心”   HARD TRUTH: Gen. Keane details why Putin actions undermine peace claims  (12-30) *  can NOT go back to THIS: Gen. Keane  (12-30)   * Global Geopolitical Outlook 2026  (10-2025) H Brands  Trump’s security promise for Ukraine could risk war with Russia Charap, Samuel; Kavanagh,

Why Do Islamists Hate Jews?

The recent Bondi terror attack shows how much Islamists hate Jews. The terrorists chose one of the most important festivals and a happy occasion on the Jewish calendar to kill Jews. The question is why? The answer is rooted in the teaching of Prophet Muhammad and the Quran. However, Islam and Muslims are complex. Many Muslims are neither violent nor wanting to kill Jews. The reason lies in the fact that the Quran is inconsistent. Different sects have different interpretations

A Quick Note of AI (12-2025)

Recent development in AI calls for a review. For the start, there is some talk of a stock market crash. The book 1929 and so on. I do not give much credence to that [1].  Another is Oracle and OpenAI circular sales. This is a bit concerning. This could cause problems if their business plan does not pan out. OpenAI perhaps has to do this. OpenAI and Google are in a ferocious battle [2-4]. If OpenAI loses, it could mean its death, or at least a secondary player. The market migh

A Very Short History of Israel-Hamas Conflicts

You probably have heard that recently presidents of three elite American universities (Harvard, UPenn, MIT) were asked to testify in front of Congress. They were criticized for their universities’ failure to tackle anti-semitism. This issue is quite complex and should be analyzed from several angles. In this write-up, I clarify the Israel-Hamas conflicts, which provides the background for further discussion. As in my previous write-ups, my writing is terse. Refer to the refer

How to Handle Islamic Terrorism?

How to handle Islamic terrorism? I have written two related writeups earlier:  How to Face Evil? ( jiahan1.wixsite.com ) Snake and Jesus   This is God’s grand plan for facing evil.  One still has to map one for Islamic terrorism. That is not easy and is left for the future.   More News:  You cannot overstate this threat: Dr. Zuhdi Jasser   * ‘No standards’: ABC’s Laura Tingle claims Bondi massacre had ‘nothing to do with religion’   * Albanese’s gun reforms are a 'fake soluti

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